Can the "Red Mirage" and "Blue Shift" be explained with math? ELECTION 2024

Stand-up Maths

Here is the full MIT Election Data and Science Lab report: https://electionlab.mit.edu/sites/default/files/2021-04/Blue-Shift-in-2020-Election.pdf University of Florida's Election Lab early voting stats. https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/ Trump quotes from the 2020 election night are 01:09 to 01:20 and 07:31 to 08:22 from this video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YlmaKdbC6ZM&ab_channel=ABCNews CNN have a great timeline of what will happen when: https://edition.cnn.com/2024/11/02/politics/how-election-night-will-unfold-hour-by-hour/index.html I found this to be a very helpful article: "Blue Shift And Red Mirage Explained: Why The First Vote Tallies May Be Misleading" https://www.forbes.com/sites/saradorn/2024/10/29/blue-shift-and-red-mirage-explained-why-the-first-vote-tallies-may-be-misleading/ Democracy sausage. You heard me. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Democracy_sausage If you have any suggestions for follow-on Election 2024 math videos, drop me a line: [e-mail] Huge thanks to my Patreon supporters. They are the dark money super pac behind my channel. https://www.patreon.com/standupmaths CORRECTIONS - None yet, let me know if you spot anything! Adequate filming by Matt Parker Expert editing by Alex Genn-Bash Written and performed by Matt Parker Produced by Nicole Jacobus Music by Howard Carter Design by Simon Wright and Adam Robinson MATT PARKER: Stand-up Mathematician Website: http://standupmaths.com/