How to Navigate a Down Market

Let's Talk Money with Monika Halan

In this episode, Monika helps listeners navigate a down market, explaining why market downturns feel more painful than they actually are. Drawing from behavioral economics, she highlights how loss aversion—our tendency to feel losses more strongly than equivalent gains—affects investment decisions. While markets have declined 12% from their peak, the last four years have delivered over 20% annualized returns. Monika urges investors to zoom out, focusing on five-year rolling returns and asset allocation rather than reacting emotionally to short-term losses. She also discusses how seasoned investors weather market swings by sticking to a disciplined strategy.

Shifting gears, Monika breaks down the concept of interest rates and how they impact loans and investments. She explains why interest is essentially the price of a loan, factoring in deferred consumption, inflation risk, and borrower creditworthiness. Using real-world examples, she compares secured loans like home loans, which carry lower interest rates, with unsecured loans like credit card debt, which come with significantly higher costs. Monika challenges listeners to think critically about risk, prompting them to consider why a blue-chip company would pay lower interest than a small real estate firm.

In the listener Q&A, Himanshu Patnekar asks whether shifting PPF maturity proceeds into mutual funds makes sense for long-term goals, especially given his pension-backed retirement. Dhanya James struggles to decide between buying medical insurance online or through an agent, seeking Monika’s guidance on service quality versus cost. Lastly, an anonymous listener questions the viability of market-linked debentures promising high returns, prompting Monika to dissect the risks, taxation, and costs involved in such products.

Chapters:

(01:38 - 06:12) Understanding loss aversion and market downturns

(06:13 - 08:38) Interest rates and their impact on borrowing

(09:18 - 13:05) Should you move your PPF corpus to mutual funds?

(13:07 - 15:52) How to choose the right medical insurance

(15:54 - 18:56) Are market-linked debentures worth the risk?

If you have financial questions that you’d like answers for, please email us at ⁠[email protected]⁠

Monika’s book on basic money management

⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.monikahalan.com/lets-talk-money-english/⁠⁠⁠⁠

Monika’s book on mutual funds

⁠⁠⁠https://www.monikahalan.com/lets-talk-mutual-funds/⁠⁠⁠

Monika’s workbook on recording your financial life

⁠⁠⁠⁠https://www.monikahalan.com/lets-talk-legacy/⁠⁠⁠⁠

Calculators

⁠⁠⁠⁠https://investor.sebi.gov.in/calculators/index.html⁠⁠⁠⁠

You can find Monika on her social media @monikahalan.

Twitter ⁠⁠⁠⁠@MonikaHalan⁠⁠⁠⁠

Instagram ⁠⁠⁠⁠@MonikaHalan⁠⁠⁠⁠

Facebook ⁠⁠⁠⁠@MonikaHalan⁠⁠⁠⁠

LinkedIn⁠⁠⁠@MonikaHalan⁠⁠

Production House:⁠⁠⁠⁠www.inoutcreatives.com⁠⁠⁠⁠

Production Assistant:⁠⁠⁠⁠ Anshika Gogoi⁠⁠

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