พอดคาสท์ Alfonso Peccatiello ชั้นนำ (2024)

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289 · Alfonso Peccatiello (MacroAlf) - Beyond Being Right - A Shift to Framework Thinking 1:08:29

6d ago1:08:29

1:08:29

Alfonso Peccatiello’s (also known as MacroAlf on X) approach to the financial markets is rooted in macroeconomic insights, identifying market imbalances, and disciplined risk management. Having managed a $20 billion fixed-income portfolio, Alf has seen firsthand how understanding market dynamics and timing can unlock significant value. His strategi…

1
ReSolve Riffs with Eric Balchunas on The Hidden Gems of the ETF World You Need to Know! 1:03:52

4d ago1:03:52

1:03:52

In this episode, the ReSolve team is joined by Eric Balchunas to discuss the current state of the ETF industry, the rise of active ETFs, and the impact of Bitcoin and crypto on the market. Eric shares his insights on the 'hot sauce' approach to investing, the role of psychology in investment decisions, and the future of the ETF market. Topics Discu…

1
What If The Fed Made a Mistake? 39:27

4d ago39:27

39:27

Alf and Brent discuss the most recent US macro data releases: the hurricane impacted jobless claims, and core inflation has surprised to the upside. Trump now seems to decidedly lead the polls, and his policies could be inflationary. Did the Fed make a mistake by cutting 50 bps? The duo also discusses the Saturday Chinese fiscal press conference, a…

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Surviving a World on Fire: Lessons from History and the Future with Viktor Shvets 1:51:49

11d ago1:51:49

1:51:49

In this episode, the ReSolve team engages in a thought-provoking discussion with Viktor Shvets, a renowned global strategist and author. They delve into the complexities of the current global economic landscape, exploring topics like societal polarization, monetary policy, and the role of demographics in shaping the future. Topics Discussed • A dee…

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Macro Risks On The Horizon 34:33

11d ago34:33

34:33

EXCLUSIVE DISCOUNT TO ALF & BRENT CONFERENCE https://www.spectramarkets.com/macro-roadmap-2025/ Use the coupon TMTF to get $200 OFF. Only for the first 100 users - first come, first serve! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Alf and Brent discuss the many risks on the horizon: the Middle-East e…

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Unpacking The Chinese Stimulus Bazooka 36:35

18d ago36:35

36:35

The Chinese stimulus bazooka has been fired. Chinese authorities have announced aggressive interest rate cuts, a 1 trillion yuan capital injection for Chinese banks, and they are also mentioning the magic words: fiscal stimulus. As a result, stocks are soaring and commodities are rallying. But - is it really going to work? And can China really affo…

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288 · Steve B - When Confluences Align, Confidence Follows 1:09:17

18d ago1:09:17

1:09:17

We caught up with Steve B, a seasoned professional independent trader with 10+ years of experience in the financial markets we got to know closely through the Chat With Traders Community. Steve teamed up with our community cohost and mentor at the time, Patrick Petersson (featured on episode 260) to run the CWT Community Live Trading Room. They mai…

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How To Trade The Fed Cutting Cycle 35:50

25d ago35:50

35:50

Alf and Brent discuss the jumbo 50 bps Fed cut and the nuances Powell shared during the press conference. They look at historical parallels to derive how to best approach different asset classes with a specific focus on the USD. They also cover the Chinese economy which seems to be slowly imploding from within. We are now also on Youtube, where you…

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The World is Different Now 41:14

1M ago41:14

41:14

Alf and Brent discuss similarities and differences between the world and the macro cycle today versus the pre-pandemic period. While the cycle might look similar, should we not pay attention to the structural differences too? The duo moves on to discuss the aggressive bond market pricing and how to trade around that. Finally, they focus on the US D…

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287 · Robb Reinhold - Consistency Beats Intelligence Every Time 1:10:03

1M ago1:10:03

1:10:03

We're joined today by Robb Reinhold, the Head Trader at Maverick Trading. Robb shares insights from a captivating trading experiment that's sure to intrigue both novice and experienced traders alike. The Flat Earth Trading Society experiment was a year long experiment testing the power of consistent position management and following a systematic tr…

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Will The Fed Cut by 25 or 50 bps? 36:45

1M ago36:45

36:45

Alf and Brent discuss recent developments in macro and labor market data, and debate whether the Fed will cut by 25 or 50 bps in September. Is the bond market overestimating the amount of upcoming cuts, or economic weakness will require the Fed to cut rates even more aggressively? They then move to investigate how long-term investing bias can negat…

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286 · Jason Shapiro - Overcrowded Trades: What Everyone Else is Not Seeing 1:02:35

2M ago1:02:35

1:02:35

There’s Contrarian Trading and then there’s Consistent Contrarian Trading. Can you really make money by consistently going against the crowd? Does it take a certain type of personality to be able to trade this way? Jason Shapiro was featured in “Unknown Market Wizards” by Jack Schwager and he returns to Chat With Traders for an update after two yea…

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How & When The Best Macro Investors Use Options 40:10

2M ago40:10

40:10

In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss how cross-asset pricing in bonds, FX and equity markets has rapidly changed in August and compare it with the hard economic reality: are there opportunities to be exploited? They then make a deep dive on the US Dollar, and finally cover a crucial trading framework topic: when and how to use options instead of …

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A Tale of Crowded Macro Trades 36:22

2M ago36:22

36:22

Alf and Brent reflect on the immense volatility hitting markets recently, and specifically on the unwind of carry trades: are we done here or is there more to come? Most importantly, they describe how to design and apply a risk management and position sizing framework so that when everybody panics you don't need to. Want to reach out to Alf? Ping A…

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285 · Greg Magadini - Cashing in Through Exploiting Volatility 1:22:31

2M ago1:22:31

1:22:31

Greg Magadini began his career as a proprietary trader for DRW Trading and Chopper Trading in Chicago and traded with SMB Capital as well. He later took a bold step, venturing out to trade his own book, bootstrapping crypto volatility with options and turning $50,000 into a staggering $1.3 million in consistent profits over nine years. In addition …

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Macro Mayhem! 39:38

2M ago39:38

39:38

Alf and Brent reflect on the massive bond market rally and the explosive move in the Japanese Yen - what’s next for macro? To contact Alf: send him an email at info@palinurocapital.com or contact him on Bloomberg (Alfonso Peccatiello) To contact Brent: ping him on Bloomberg (Brent Donnelly) or go on http://www.spectramarkets.com/ Brent’s piece on p…

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Explaining This Brutal Stocks Sell-Off 37:13

3M ago37:13

37:13

This week, Alf and Brent discuss the brutal equity market sell-off: is it due to macro tectonic shifts, a reassessment of political risks or an unwind of crowded trades? The duo digs deep trying to connect the dots, and they also discuss a trading framework around this large volatility events.โดย Alfonso Peccatiello & Brent Donnelly

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Ben Reeves: From Bridgewater to Wealthsimple: Institutional investing Through a Robo Advisor 51:48

3M ago51:48

51:48

In this episode, the ReSolve team chats with Ben Reeves, a seasoned financial professional with a wealth of experience in portfolio construction and investment strategies. Ben shares his journey from working at Bridgewater to facing a health crisis, and eventually joining Wealthsimple. The conversation delves into the intricacies of allocation rese…

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Where To Find Cheap Macro Optionality 39:15

3M ago39:15

39:15

Alf and Brent look into various ''Trump trades'' now that the odds of a Trump election and Republican sweep have increased: is there still juice left? And where? Specifically, they also reflect on the use of options as macro traders. Want to see Alf's Cheap Optionality Monitor? Ping him (Alfonso Peccatiello) on Bloomberg And take advantage of Brent…

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It's Macro ShowTime! 39:25

3M ago39:25

39:25

Alf and Brent discuss the interesting market reaction to the weak US CPI report, and they dig deep into the '''Trump trade'': how would you trade a Trump victory and why? They also talk about the US Dollar and bond markets. Want to chat with Alf on Bloomberg? Ping him (Alfonso Peccatiello) You can find Brent's work on Spectra Markets or ping him on…

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284 · Sam Daghash - Rising Above a Trader’s Inner Turbulence 1:23:12

3M ago1:23:12

1:23:12

We often hear that having “Discipline” is the key to trading success. But many of us traders continue to struggle developing discipline and good habits for trading no matter how hard and how long we’ve tried. Could there be a deeper reason for this? As fellow human traders, we are commonly faced with our own programming that we are often unaware of…

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Option Markets Are Eating The World 37:49

4M ago37:49

37:49

In this episode, Alf invites Cem Karsan to discuss what's going on in option markets. Cem does a great job at explaining what's the dispersion trade, how big it has become, and how it might unwind wreaking havoc across asset classes. Alf and Cem also discuss macro and how to use options to structure good risk/reward trade ideas. Visit Cem's website…

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283: Trading Football Dreams for Stock Market Touchdowns 59:27

4M ago59:27

59:27

Michael shares his journey from aspiring NFL athlete to successful day trader. After a sports injury dashed his football dreams, he turned to day trading, teaching himself the ropes and overcoming early financial losses with the encouragement of his entrepreneurial mother. His trading strategy evolved over the years, focusing on short-selling highl…

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What Powell Really Meant 39:32

4M ago39:32

39:32

A big macro week is behind us: the combination of CPI and PPI releases provide us with solid information on where the disinflation trend stands. Alf and Brent also discuss Powell’s press conference + change in dots and the European political risks. Want to get in touch with Alf or Brent? Ping Alfonso Peccatiello on Bloomberg Ping Brent Donnelly on …

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Alfonso Peccatiello: Unveiling the Macro Endgame: The Wealth Illusion Paradigm 54:10

4M ago54:10

54:10

In this episode, Alfonso Peccatiello, a renowned macro investor, joins the ReSolve team to delve into the macro end game, the impact of leverage on the financial system, and the potential paths forward. They also discuss the role of politicians in managing fiscal interventions and the increasing volatility in the macro environment. Topics Discussed…

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Risk Management Principles 38:25

4M ago38:25

38:25

Alf and Brent discuss the ECB and Bank of Canada cuts, and reflect on the big bond market moves seen recently coupled with carry trade implosions. The discussion focuses around risk management principles to prevent bad left tail outcomes when running carry trades, and how to identify positive expected value trades in macro. Alf is offering a 2-week…

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282: Tony Greer - Staying Selective and Being Adaptable in the Trading Landscape 1:15:15

4M ago1:15:15

1:15:15

Tony Greer, a Long Island native, ventured into Wall Street trading inspired by his father. With a background in business management from Cornell University, he honed his skills at Sumitomo Bank, UBS, and Goldman Sachs. He and his team meticulously diagrammed every aspect of the markets, from liquidity to potential swings, which allowed him to expl…

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Navigating Market Volatility: Mastering Managed Futures and Carry Strategies 1:18:55

5M ago1:18:55

1:18:55

In this episode, ReSolve team members Adam Butler and Rodrigo Gordillo discuss the concept of market volatility and its implications for investment strategies. They delve into the intricacies of Carry strategies, their impact on portfolio returns, and how to navigate market volatility effectively. Topics Discussed • The concept of Carry in the inve…

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Don't Make This Mistake 28:31

5M ago28:31

28:31

Free Trial to Alf's Institutional Research? Ping Alfonso Peccatiello on Bloomberg for more info! In this podcast, Alf invites Peter Farac (aka @countdraghula on Twitter) to the show. Peter brings a wealth of experience running money and has specific skills in rates and vol markets. Alf and Peter discuss where the US business cycle actually is, how …

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Roger King: Building a Franchise Empire: The Story of Supplement King 1:01:13

5M ago1:01:13

1:01:13

In this episode, we have an engaging conversation with Roger King, the mastermind behind the successful Supplement King franchise. Roger shares his journey from starting as a local supplement provider to becoming a renowned name in the industry. He discusses his business strategies, the importance of understanding the market, and the challenges he …

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How Macro Traders Navigate Uncertainties 37:08

5M ago37:08

37:08

Want to meet Alf and Brent in person?! Fill in this 30-second survey so we can make this happen: https://www.eSurveysPro.com/Survey.aspx?id=ad4fe049-95b7-40ef-a46b-f1bdc509b256 In this episode, Alf and Brent discuss how markets are becoming quickly complacent with realized and implied volatility collapsing across asset classes. The only surprises a…

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281: Marsten Parker - The Purely Systematic Wizard Trader 1:08:27

5M ago1:08:27

1:08:27

Starting in classical violin and computer programming, Marsten Parker's path took a transformative turn when he ventured into trading. Despite a rocky start, his disciplined, algorithm-driven approach led to consistent returns, earning him recognition in Jack Schwager's book, "Unknown Market Wizards". We get to learn about his transition from discr…

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Value Investing is BACK - with Tobias Carlisle 1:08:51

5M ago1:08:51

1:08:51

In this episode, we delve into the world of value investing with Tobias Carlisle, the founder of The Acquirer's Multiple and author of the book 'The Acquirer's Multiple'. From his journey from a lawyer in Australia to a value funds manager in California, to his unique approach towards value investing, this conversation is a treasure trove of insigh…

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How To Trade Macro Now? 35:42

5M ago35:42

35:42

(Links mentioned in the podcast are in the show notes below: check them out!) Alf and Brent discuss the soft patch the US seems to be going through and the CPI number released this week. If markets are going to continue with this low-vol grind higher, how do you trade macro now? Also, China seems to be cooking something big this time. - Contact me …

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Early Signs of Weakness 37:46

5M ago37:46

37:46

The Bank of England pre-announced a rate cut in June, the Swedish Riksbank cut interest rates, and there are a few early signs of weakness emerging in the US as well. Is the market ready for a regime switch? Alf and Brent also discuss how they approach trading into volatile events, breaking long-term correlation, and the structural USD strength. Li…

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280: Steve Hanke - Decoding the Drivers of Inflation and Markets 1:16:03

5M ago1:16:03

1:16:03

Trading commodities since 14 years old, Professor Hanke started learning the importance of closely following macro economic factors which impact the prices of currencies, commodities and consumer goods. His evidence-based approach uncovers the deeper forces driving inflation and market fluctuations and challenges prevailing narratives as it relates…

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A New Fed Put? 37:24

6M ago37:24

37:24

Descrizione: Nominal growth is showing some early signs of fatigue, while economists' expectations remain elevated and market pricing still quite hawkish. Alf and Brent discuss potential opportunities arising from this setup, and spend time arguing whether Powell just announced a new Fed Put this week. Link to Brent's favorite podcast this week: ht…

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E1: Enter the New World of Return Stacking - Inaugural Episode! 1:14:05

6M ago1:14:05

1:14:05

In today’s ReSolve Riffs we’re taking the opportunity to introduce the inaugural episode of a brand new podcast channel called the Get Stacked Investment Podcast. In this series, we dive deep into the world of Return Stacking, exploring the latest projects, content, and insights from the www.returnstacked.com website. Co-hosted by Corey Hosteen, CI…

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Jared Dillian: The Hidden Dangers in the Global Economy 55:24

6M ago55:24

55:24

In this episode, the ReSolve team is joined by Jared Dillian, the editor of The Daily Dirtnap and author of the book No Worries: How to Live a Stress-Free Financial Life. They delve into a variety of topics, including the power of diversification, the importance of understanding financial stress, and the current state of global financial markets. T…

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A Contrarian Macro Thesis 37:59

6M ago37:59

37:59

US Q1 Real GDP printed below expectations but still at a respectable 1.6%, and core inflation was hotter than analysts forecast: more fuel on the fire of the reflation theme? Alf and Brent present a contrarian macro thesis instead, and also discuss the odds of a Chinese devaluation and more. Finally, they talk about the pros/cons of using stop loss…

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