Moody’s experts from around the globe and external guests join hosts Scott Phillips and Vittoria Zoli discuss macro, financial and credit trends shaping the world of emerging markets. Published by Moody’s Investors Service.
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Conversations with leading emerging markets movers and shakers on their personal journeys and insights into the countries in which they operate.
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Stories of startups from emerging and frontier markets.
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Emerging Markets are fast-changing and full of hope. With accelerating speed of change, predicting and understanding upcoming trends require a deep understanding of people and their cultures. Tassos Stassopoulos visits the homes of consumers in EMs to understand their beliefs, values and aspirations. In this series he shares his insights. Learn more at https://trinetra-im.com
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Venturing through 90+ countries, we’ve discovered one commonality. From Latin America, Africa, Asia, the Middle East to Eastern Europe, there are growing tech startup ecosystems transforming the world. Emerging market startups are generating market-creating innovations, leapfrogging Silicon Valley’s innovations, and solving local problems faster than governments. Join us to hear from startup ecosystem champions, entrepreneurs and investors in emerging markets. We discuss what makes these mar ...
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Digging into key credit stories for emerging market sovereign investors across the globe
20:37
20:37
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20:37
China’s 2024 policy priorities and influence across Asia, the state of European consumers, Romania’s fiscal deficit, Argentina’s economy and Ecuador’s state of emergency are among the top stories. Guests: Lillian Li, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Ratings; Ruosha Li, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Moody’s Ratings; Ariane Ortiz-Bo…
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A focus on West Africa, where bright spots shine through political, security and climate risks
15:10
15:10
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15:10
Positive developments include strong GDP growth in Côte d’Ivoire and Senegal, a lifting of sanctions on Niger, and a few countries tapping international bond markets so far this year. Speaker: Mickaël Gondrand, Assistant Vice President-Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director, Emergi…
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Transforming brands and lives across cultures - Emily Chang, CEO McCann WorldGroup China
37:00
37:00
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37:00
In this episode of the INSEAD Emerging Markets Podcast, we were joined by Emily Chang, a powerhouse in the world of international marketing and business strategy. Currently CEO of VML West (and CEO of McCann Worldgroup in China at the time of recording), Emily's storied career spans influential roles at global giants like Starbucks, Apple, and Proc…
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State-contingent debt instruments gain traction in restructurings as sovereign defaults rise
14:56
14:56
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14:56
These instruments provide flexibility on debt-service payments and can help bridge differences in restructuring talks. Protracted talks delay critical structural reforms and increase default risk. Guest: David Rogovic, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Di…
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Emerging market central banks lower rates while US Fed signals rate cuts are not imminent
12:54
12:54
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12:54
Recent interest rate cuts in Brazil, Chile, Colombia and Hungary are among the signs that EM financial conditions are improving. The primary market for EM bond issuance is likely to remain strong. Hosts: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerging Markets at Moody's Investors Service; Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets at Moody's …
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Middle East, North Africa credit conditions are stable in 2024 despite elevated geopolitical risks
16:32
16:32
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16:32
Conditions are more stable for sovereigns, banks and companies in the Gulf Cooperation Council region than in North Africa and Levant. An escalation of the Israel-Hamas military conflict is main risk. Speakers: Christian Fang, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Sovereign Risk Group at Moody’s Investors Service; Badis Shubailat, Assistant Vice Preside…
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Five top-of-mind credit stories for EM sovereign investors in 2024
17:17
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17:17
Redefault risk in Argentina, general elections in South Africa, financial conditions and debt affordability in Egypt, monetary policy in Turkiye and economic growth in China are top stories this year. Speaker: Marie Diron, Managing Director - Global Sovereign Risk - Moody's Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerg…
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Growing environmental awareness in EM and other trends to watch
21:37
21:37
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21:37
Emerging Market are changing fast, but while some topics and challenges might be shared with the developed world, the solutions are often starkly different. In this podcast Mike Ivatt discusses with Tassos Stassopoulos the growing importance of environmental awareness in Emerging Markets, and why EMs might be better placed to find the answers to en…
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COP28 climate summit highlights carbon transition risks for emerging markets
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20:14
Carbon transition, adaptation to climate change and climate finance – core topics at COP28 – are crucial for EMs because of their exposure to environmental risks and limited capacity to respond. Speakers: Rebecca Karnovitz, VP-SCO – ESG Research & Outreach at Moody’s Investors Service; Matt Kuchtyak, VP-Sustainable Finance at Moody’s Investors Serv…
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Economic considerations underpin stable emerging market 2024 outlook
15:06
15:06
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15:06
EM GDP growth will slow, largely because of China’s slowdown. Export-led EMs will suffer from weak global trade activity, but domestic-focused EMs will fare better. Pockets of inflation risk exist. Speaker: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerging Markets, Mood…
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Emerging market central banks reassess pace of monetary easing as US Fed holds rates for longer
12:13
12:13
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12:13
Continued high US interest rates, strong US dollar and possible rise in commodity prices mean EM central banks are likely to recalibrate the pace, if not the depth, of their interest rate cuts. Speaker: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director - Emerging Markets, Moody's …
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A focus on emerging markets as bond yields and oil prices oscillate, plus a deep dive on Egypt
20:09
20:09
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20:09
This podcast episode examines the effect of interest-rate and oil-price volatility on EM, inflation in Asia and Central-Eastern Europe, monetary policy in LatAm and Egypt’s weakening credit quality. Speakers: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst - Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service and Elisa Parisi-Capone, Vice President - Senior Analyst - Sovereigns, M…
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How recent US, UK, euro area monetary policy decisions, US dollar strength affect emerging markets
23:34
23:34
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23:34
Moody’s strategists discuss recent central bank decisions, EM financial conditions, US dollar strength and EM currency weakness, Poland’s election and India’s inclusion in an EM government bond index. Speakers: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst -- Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service and Steffen Dyck, Senior Vice President -- Sovereigns, Moody's Invest…
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Disinflation continues in EMs; Mexico’s industrial production rises; Gabon’s outlook turns negative
20:07
20:07
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20:07
Moody’s analysts discuss the country-specific reasons inflation is slowing in emerging markets; why Mexico’s industrial production is increasing; and how Gabon’s coup factored into its outlook change. Speakers: Vittoria Zoli, Analyst – Emerging Markets, Moody's Investors Service and Mickaël Gondrand, Analyst – Sovereigns, Moody’s Investors Service …
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Stress in China’s property sector has potential knock-on effects across multiple sectors
19:07
19:07
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19:07
In this episode, Moody’s analysts discuss the reasons for the current property-sector stress and the potential effects for developers, banks that finance them, local authorities and the economy. Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director – Emerging Markets, Moody’s Investors Serviceโดย Scott Phillips
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More emerging market sovereigns pursue debt-for-nature swaps to reduce debt burdens
24:41
24:41
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24:41
Moody’s analysts discuss the growing use – and credit effect – of these transactions amid some sovereigns’ debt sustainability concerns and a need to invest in climate initiatives. Speakers: Thorsten Nestmann, Senior Vice President - Group Credit Officer, Sovereigns and Christopher Bredholt, Vice President - Senior Credit Officer, Public Project an…
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Emerging Markets insights and view ahead with Kojo Amoo-Gottfried
28:03
28:03
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28:03
BSI Fund Chief Investment Officer Kojo Amoo-Gottfried joins Emerging Markets Decoded to discuss emerging markets topics including the macro perspective and investor sentiment toward the asset class. Speaker: Kojo Amoo-Gottfried, Chief Investment Officer, BSI Fund Hosts: Scott Phillips, AMD – Emerging Markets, Moody’s Investor’s Service; Vittoria Zo…
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China’s soft economic recovery raises contingent liability risks from LGFVs
19:41
19:41
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19:41
Moody’s analysts discuss the economic and credit outlook for China, including the role of local government financing vehicles (LGFVs) and their debt burdens, and the latest on the property sector. Speakers: Lillian Li, VP-Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service; Jessie Tung, VP-Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Vittori…
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South Africa power cuts dim economic outlook
22:38
22:38
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22:38
Moody’s analysts discuss the credit effects of South Africa’s energy crisis, including macro and social implications, as well as the government’s plans to address the crisis. Speakers: Aurelien Mali, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service; Neil Griffiths-Lambeth, Associate Managing Director, Moody’s Investors Service Host…
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Debt sustainability is at risk for frontier market sovereigns
15:45
15:45
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15:45
Moody’s analysts discuss updates to long-term sovereign debt forecasts, accounting for recent market conditions, including higher inflation and interest rates. Speaker: Lucie Villa, Vice President – Senior Credit Officer, Sovereign Risk Group, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director – Emerging Markets, Moody’s In…
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Moody’s Global Emerging Markets Summit 2023: High hopes, higher risks?
26:12
26:12
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26:12
Special guests Lee C. Buchheit and David Lubin share their insights on emerging market sovereign debt crises, the US dollar’s future as a global reserve currency, China’s evolving economy and more. Speakers: Lee C. Buchheit, Professor, University of Edinburgh; David Lubin, Head of EM Economics, Citi, Associate Fellow at Chatham House Host: Scott Ph…
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$8.5B emerging market asset management - Nick Rohatyn, The Rohatyn Group
36:09
36:09
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36:09
Nicolas Rohatyn serves as Chief Executive Officer of The Rohatyn Group. TRG is a team of 190+ emerging market specialists in 18 countries dedicated to pursuing investment opportunities in these economies by focusing on areas of structural inefficiency and special opportunity. The firm has over $8 billion in assets under management and splits its in…
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Is India the next emerging market powerhouse?
16:21
16:21
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16:21
Moody’s analysts discuss India’s growing manufacturing and infrastructure sectors, favorable demographics and potential to achieve significant scale across multiple sectors in the next decade. Speaker: Kaustubh Chaubal, Senior Vice President – Corporate Finance, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director – Emerging …
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Emerging markets with nature-dependent sectors face natural capital depletion risks
15:45
15:45
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15:45
Moody’s analysts explore credit risks related to natural capital and biodiversity loss, why emerging markets are more at risk than advanced economies and which sectors are most exposed. Speakers: Lucia Lopez, VP – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service; Rahul Ghosh, MD – Sustainable Finance, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Kelvin Dalrympl…
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Cost-of-living crisis weakens social contracts across the globe, adding to global economic risks
11:20
11:20
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11:20
Moody’s analysts explore credit risks related to the social contract, and how a weakening in the contract is often associated with credit deterioration in the countries where it takes place. Speakers: Elisa Parisi-Capone, VP – Senior Analyst, Moody’s Investors Service; David Rogovic, VP – Senior Credit Officer, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Shiri…
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Emerging market corporate credit quality better placed to handle next downturn
15:43
15:43
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15:43
Moody's analysts explore two downside scenarios to frame the likely impact of a US recession on EM corporates, combining lessons from past downturns with the many changes to the credit landscape in the years since. Speakers: Kelvin Dalrymple, VP – Senior Credit Officer, Moody's Investors Service; Vittoria Zoli, Analyst, Moody's Investors Service Ho…
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Climate Tech Innovation with Jamil Wyne, founder of Climate Tech Bootcamp
40:46
40:46
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40:46
Jamil Wyne is an INSEAD 18J and advisor, investor, professor and author focusing on climate, entrepreneurship, technology and economic development around the world, including a strong concentration on climate change. Worked with World Bank, IFC, UN, Clean Energy Venture Group, Catalyst Investment Management, Schmidt Futures, Wamda, and Ashoka. INSE…
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World Bank-IMF Spring Meetings will cover range of emerging market credit topics
19:09
19:09
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19:09
Moody’s analysts explore the key themes and policy issues likely to be at the center of the upcoming World Bank and IMF Spring Meetings, including banking turmoil, tightening credit, ESG and more. Speaker: Marie Diron, Managing Director – Sovereign Risk, Moody’s Investors Service Host: Scott Phillips, Associate Managing Director – Emerging Markets,…
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Mark Zandi on Fed rate hike, banking stress, recession risks and implications for emerging markets
12:17
12:17
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12:17
The chief economist of Moody’s Analytics joins host Shirin Mohammadi to discuss the US Federal Reserve’s recent rate decision and response to banking stress, recession risks and more. Speaker: Mark Zandi, Chief Economist, Moody’s Analytics Host: Shirin Mohammadi, VP – Senior Research Writer, Moody’s Investors Service…
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US bank failures have ripple effects worldwide
14:25
14:25
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14:25
Moody’s analysts discuss recent developments in the US and European banking systems, the implications for monetary policy and potential spillovers to emerging markets across the globe. Speakers: Donald Robertson, AMD – Financial Institutions, Moody’s Investors Service; Nick Hill, MD – Financial Institutions, Moody’s Investors Service; Eugene Tarzim…
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Islamic finance set to continue its steady expansion in 2023
19:23
19:23
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19:23
In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Nitish Bhojnagarwala of the Financial Institutions team and special guest Sohail Ali of DLA Piper join host Scott Phillips to discuss the outlook for Islamic finance across emerging markets. Plus, they dive into the intersection of ESG and Islamic finance, and the risks associated with “g…
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Will Nigeria’s presidential elections affect credit conditions for banks and the sovereign?
13:19
13:19
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13:19
In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Ighosime Oyofo and Mik Kabeya of the Financial Institutions team and Lucie Villa of the Sovereign team join host Scott Phillips to discuss the credit implications of Nigeria’s presidential elections, with a focus on the banking system and the sovereign. Related research Government of Nige…
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Mass transit as a last mile logistics solution for SE Asian cities - Onno Pfeiffer, co-founder of Diolko
35:53
35:53
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35:53
Onno Pfeiffer is an INSEAD GEMBA 19 and is the co-founder of Diolko. Diolko's sustainable last mile delivery solution leverages underutilized city infrastructure to improve quality of life for everyone by reducing both greenhouse gas emissions and traffic congestion. Subscribe and follow the INSEAD Emerging Markets Podcast on Spotify, Apple, or Goo…
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Tight financing conditions will continue to challenge frontier markets' credit strength
10:30
10:30
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10:30
In this episode of Moody's Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Scott Phillips of the Global Emerging Markets team joins host Shirin Mohammadi to discuss a recent turn of events for emerging market credit conditions, including some easing in financial conditions, with inflation, yields and spreads all lower than at the end of 2022, despite continued v…
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Political unrest adds to credit pressures across Latin America
13:57
13:57
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13:57
In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Jaime Reusche of the Sovereign team joins host Ariane Ortiz-Bollin to discuss the credit implications of political unrest in Peru, how it compares to recent events in Brazil and credit distress in Argentina. Plus, Valeria Azconegui of Moody’s Local shares insights from the ground. Related…
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Regenerative Agriculture in Pakistan with Taimur Malik of Drawdown Farm
1:26:09
1:26:09
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1:26:09
Taimur Malik, Co-Founder and Ideator of Drawdown Farm joined us to speak about regenerative agriculture's role in addressing the world's polycrises and the amazing results he's had so far on his farm in the Thar Desert of Pakistan. Prior to founding Drawdown Farm, Taimur was an Analyst at Citibank, Chief Executive at Moiz Textiles, and co-founded T…
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VC in India with Brendan Rogers of 2am VC (formerly Wag!'s co-founder)
40:55
40:55
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40:55
Brendan Rogers is the Co-Founder of 2am VC, an early-stage India Fund. Previously, Brendan co-founded Wag! (NASDAQ) PET, the largest pet platform in the US. Before Wag!, Brendan co-founded a social discovery service to meet new people, which grew to over 50 million users in over 10 countries, and was acquired by IAC in 2014. In this podcast, Brenda…
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Despite mixed outlook, Middle East houses one of 2023’s few bright spots
16:45
16:45
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16:45
In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Christian Fang and Alex Perjessy of the Sovereign team join host Shirin Mohammadi to discuss the outlook for sovereigns across the Middle East and North Africa. Plus, they explore how recent developments in Iran could affect the rest of the region. Related research: 2023 outlook negative …
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Fair FX transfers for emerging market currencies with Mike Robertson and Adrian Brown, founders of AbbeyCross
26:14
26:14
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26:14
AbbeyCross is a business-to-business FX trading and compliance marketplace for emerging market (EM) currencies. Available to banks and payment providers, it brings deeper EM currency liquidity, previously unavailable price transparency and market data to a fragmented EM payment industry. With AbbeyCross, banking participants are able to secure and …
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From consulting in China to founding a CFO automation startup in Mexico with Javier Cunat, co-founder of Diligo
37:41
37:41
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37:41
Javier Cunat is a TIEMBA 2014 and COO/Director of Diligo, which offers advisory and CFO services for startups in Spain and Mexico. In this episode we explore his 14 years in China and subsequent move to found a startup in Mexico. Subscribe and follow the INSEAD Emerging Markets Podcast on Spotify, Apple, or Google.…
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Will China’s zero-covid policy reversal provide a boon to emerging markets in 2023?
15:48
15:48
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15:48
In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Gene Fang of the Sovereign team joins host Scott Phillips to discuss the outlook for credit conditions in China as it lifts Covid restrictions and reopens its economy, with a special focus on regional and local governments, the property sector, as well as potential implications for other …
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Founder of Asia's largest proptech company, creator of 3 unicorns, Georg Chmiel
39:17
39:17
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39:17
Georg Chmiel is an INSEAD 96D and the Co-Founder / Chair of Juwai-IQI Holdings, the largest proptech group in South East Asia with more than 30,000 sales agents. He is also responsible for creating 3 unicorns. His previous experience includes Executive Chairman of iCarAsia (ASX:ICQ), the number 1 online automotive marketplace for SE Asia. He was al…
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Lower growth and higher rates will weigh on African issuers
19:27
19:27
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19:27
In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, David Rogovic of the Sovereign team and Mik Kabeya of the Financial Institutions team join host Scott Phillips to discuss credit dynamics in Africa amid the US-Africa Leaders Summit in Washington DC. Plus, Matt Pirnie, Head of Ratings at GCR Ratings joins as a special guest to discuss the…
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Innovating Latin American food and ag sectors with Emilie Abrams of Yield Lab
30:41
30:41
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30:41
Emilie Abrams is an INSEAD 21J and Principal at The Yield Lab Mexico. The Yield Lab is a VC fund formed in 2014 to address a lack of capital and support for early stage agriculture technology companies. It invests in seed stage to growth stage agtech companies, providing international business connections and the resources of the entire Yield Lab i…
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Crypto's applications in Emerging Markets with Lloyd Brown, Head of Emerging Markets at Easy Crypto
35:06
35:06
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35:06
Easy Crypto is New Zealand's largest cryptocurrency retailer transacting over $1b in sales, and has now expanded to Australia and South Africa as well. Lloyd Brown is Head of Emerging Markets at Easy Crypto and has decades of business experience on the African continent. Subscribe and follow the INSEAD Emerging Markets Podcast on Spotify, Apple, or…
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Sustainable business opportunities in Southeast Asia with Lisa Genasci (ADM Capital) and Marc Schmidt (BCG)
41:43
41:43
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41:43
In this episode, Lisa Genasci and Marc Schmidt joined Vincent Tordo to speak about sustainable business opportunities in Southeast Asia Lisa is a Managing Director - Sustainable Finance with ADM Capital where she leads the firm’s ESG Committee and sits on the Investment Advisory Committee. Marc is a Managing Director and Partner at BCG and is the S…
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Sustained growth slowdown in China would spill over to Asia-Pacific region and beyond
10:20
10:20
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10:20
In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Deborah Tan of the Credit Strategy & Research team joins host Shirin Mohammadi to discuss what a sustained economic growth slowdown in China implies for the rest of the world, particularly the Asia-Pacific region and lower-income countries that rely on Chinese investment flows.…
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Negative global credit conditions will weigh on weaker emerging market debt issuers in 2023
18:26
18:26
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18:26
In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Ariane Ortiz-Bollin of the Global Emerging Markets team joins host Scott Phillips to discuss the 2023 outlook for emerging market credit conditions, with a focus on governments, companies and banks. Related research: 2023 Outlook - Negative credit conditions leave weaker debt issuers expo…
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Emerging markets with stronger governance, diversified economies best placed to achieve a socially “just transition”
11:17
11:17
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11:17
In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Ana Rayes of the ESG team joins host Shirin Mohammadi to discuss the potential social ramifications of climate action, and explore the relative readiness of emerging market sovereigns for a socially just carbon transition. Related research: Sovereigns' readiness for a “just transition” va…
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Brazil’s close election outcome will limit Lula’s ability to implement material policy changes
15:07
15:07
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15:07
In this episode of Moody’s Talks – Emerging Markets Decoded, Samar Maziad of the Sovereign team joins host Ariane Ortiz-Bollin to discuss the credit implications of Brazil’s recent presidential elections for the sovereign, banks and companies.โดย Ariane Ortiz-Bollin, Samar Maziad
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