The Weekly Trend is a conversation on various publicly-traded markets, seen through the eyes of technical analysis.
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In this weeks episode, David and Ian discuss the new highs in multiple areas across the market, the "interesting" reaction in interest rates after the Fed cut, and the big week for China. Also, if Tech isn't leading the market higher, where is the strength coming from?โดย Kevin Firari
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Episode 222: This Is How You Keep Up
46:53
46:53
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46:53
In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the continued uptrend in stocks, what type of appetite we are seeing in Bitcoin, and potential scenarios over the next 12 months.โดย Kevin Firari
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Episode 221: Timeframe Matters
51:13
51:13
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51:13
โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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Episode 220: Risk-off Areas
21:45
21:45
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21:45
In this week’s episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the S&P being flat this week, risk off areas in fixed income, if recent movement in Utilities and Staples contradicts the risk off view, the Japanese Yen and Nikkei, and recent performance of value areas like Financials, Materials, and Industrials.โดย Kevin Firari
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Episode 219: Stronger Than You'd Think
35:02
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35:02
In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the continued strength from equities, gold, and what a falling dollar means for an array of assets.โดย Kevin Firari
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In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the market rebound above 5400, the long-term environment, and the concept of a “broad market”. Is Growth vs. Value the same for all pieces of the market? What have been the ripple effects of a weak dollar? Is “insider” selling something to concern yourself about?…
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In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the gap down in the S&P 500 on Monday, the increase in volatility, election year seasonality, and the recent move in the Nikkei.โดย Kevin Firari
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Episode 216: Market Vacation
19:33
19:33
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19:33
In this week’s episode, David rides solo and provides an important update after seeing the start of August off to its worst start since 2002. With plenty of outside uncertainty (assassination attempts, Presidents removing themselves from consideration, Crowdstrike server outages, Venezuela uprising) it is important to focus on price. In this episod…
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In this week's episode David and Ian discuss recent performance of the major indices, the notable 2% down day witnessed this week, emerging sectors and industries like financials, the presidential election and seasonality, and international equities.โดย Kevin Firari
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Episode 214: Fish in a Barrel
26:21
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26:21
In this week’s episode, David and Kevin discuss the origin of Fish in Barrel, the once in 1.3 Million year event that took place this week, the efficiency of markets, and the significance of this week on the rest of the year.โดย Kevin Firari
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Episode 213: Same Old Story
20:23
20:23
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20:23
In this week's episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the continued dominance of mega caps, the continued non-relevance of small caps, consolidations in industrials, financials, and healthcare, recent performance in commodities, and Bitcoin breaking down.โดย Kevin Firari
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In this week's episode, Ian and Kevin discuss breadth and the continued thin nature of this market. They also touch on sector relative strength, metals and miners, the Yen, and the U.S. Dollar.โดย Kevin Firari
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In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the continued strength from Tech and Semis, the potential breadth flush, and weakness overseas.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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In this week’s episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the continued dominance from large cap tech names like AAPL and MSFT, while discussing the relative underperformance from the rest of the sectors. They also cover the recent performance of international areas, how bonds are starting to show signs of life, the US Dollar, and Japanese Yen.…
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In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the continued opportunity cost of owning Small Caps, lack of risk parity in Treasuries, the trade weighted dollar, credit spreads, sector analysis, and market breadth deterioration.โดย Kevin Firari
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Episode 208: The Years are Short
32:40
32:40
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32:40
In this week’s episode, David and Kevin discuss Nvidia earnings and stock split announcement, other recent stock splits, Dow Theory and divergences, semiconductor seasonality, recent market performance, and the holiday weekend.โดย Kevin Firari
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Episode 207: The Percentage Life
33:20
33:20
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33:20
In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the solid rebound in equities and metals, including Gold and Copper. Interest rates find likely support for a move higher. What is a ‘weight of the evidence’ approach? And a potential summer return for Tech and Mega Caps.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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Episode 206: Know Your Market History
42:40
42:40
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42:40
โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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Episode 205: Non-Farm Price
41:38
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41:38
In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the volatile week in stocks, what’s holding up underneath the surface, and why relying on headline data for market moves may not be the best choice.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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Episode 204: Just Hangin Around
49:26
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49:26
In this week’s episode, David and Kevin discuss US Equities hangin’ around important levels, normal seasonality for election years and the strongest / weakest 6 months in a 12 month period. Kevin highlights developments in the bond and commodities markets. David touches base on investor behavior while Kevin brings up the importance of understanding…
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Episode 203: Normally Abnormal
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39:02
In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the continued sell off in equities. The Nasdaq and areas such as Tech have been the hardest hit over the last few weeks. Will that continue? Gold and Bitcoin continue to hold up well, even in the face of a rising US Dollar.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the first two-week correction in stocks since late October, the continued rise in Gold and base metals as a whole, and the big picture view from where we stand across all assets.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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Episode 201: Red Flags vs Green Flags
37:48
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37:48
In this week’s episode, David and Kevin discuss risk-on and risk-off signals from this market. They cover everything from US Equities, the resurgence of commodities (including precious metals, industrial, energy, and soft commodities), currencies, and the credit environment. You will want to tune in as Kevin and David make the case for a bullish Su…
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Episode 200: Time for Small Caps?
52:40
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52:40
In this week's episode, Dave and Ian discuss Small Caps pushing higher, although they are still trying to participate on a relative basis. They also discuss metals and mining, Bitcoin, homebuilders, energy, and March seasonality.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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Episode 199: Areas of Interest
18:32
18:32
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18:32
In this week’s episode, Ian and Kevin discuss momentum indicators on the S&P, the top performing sectors this week, some interesting areas of bonds, and weak performance continuing from clean energy.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the psychological impacts from the recent rally and how retail and institutional investors may have different approaches.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the psychological impacts from the recent rally and how retail and institutional investors may have different approaches.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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Episode 196: Tapping the Fishbowl
36:15
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36:15
In this week’s podcast, David and Ian discuss the continued new highs from S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, the continued disbelief from market participants, and why Small Caps continue to point to a potential turn around.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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In this week’s podcast, David and Ian discuss why the recent rally seems so hated, another potential turn for Small Caps, and what developments could lead to a continued move upward.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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Episode 194: Sell the Super Bowl?
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44:46
In this week’s podcast, David and Ian discuss the continued march higher in stocks, a relative rebound from Small Caps, and what to look out for in the coming weeks. Breadth has been light, but maybe not as bad as some have made it out to be. Foreign stocks continue to lag their US peers. And a strong rebound in Bitcoin.…
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In this week’s podcast, David and Ian discuss current market trends, earnings reactions for some members of the Magnificent 7, and the ripple effects of a strong US dollar.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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In this week's episode, Dave and Ian discuss highlights from the most recent Client First Lunch & Learn. They also discuss stocks reaching all time highs, semiconductors and other technology areas and whether they went too far too quickly.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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Episode 191: Two Years in the Making
44:24
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44:24
In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the brand new all-time highs for S&P 500 and what that likely means for stocks going forward, both domestic and foreign. Mega Caps are still leading the way, with Small Caps struggling. Is a repeat of 2023 on the horizon?โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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Episode 190: New Era in Finance?
57:32
57:32
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57:32
In this week’s podcast, David and Ian discuss the quiet week in equities and the loud week in the ETF world. Three of the four major indices continue to sniff around previous highs. What does the Bitcoin ETF mean for retail investors and the industry as a whole? Main themes from 2023 have carried on to 2024, despite the fourth quarter trends.…
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Episode 189: Back in the Saddle
52:23
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52:23
In this week’s podcast, David and Ian discuss events from 2023, a potential shift from Value to Growth, and important levels on the major indices to be in mind for early 2024.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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Episode 188: Deck the Highs
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30:39
In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the continued strength in equities and bonds, as well as cryptocurrencies. The VIX continues to dwindle lower, along with High Yield Spreads and the US Dollar, all solid tailwinds for the market as a whole.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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Episode 187: Rockin' Around
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20:04
In this week's episode, David rides solo and highlights the continued market expansion we saw this past week. In addition, he touches base on new all-time-highs for several important areas. Finally, the evidence he highlights for continued market expansion is intriguing!โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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Episode 186: Better Not Pout
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45:13
In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the strong move in stocks that we saw in November, and another potential rebound in Small Caps. Gold is moving to all-time highs at $2100/ounce. Also, what are the implications of a VIX below 13?โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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In this week's episode, Ian discusses the flat week in stocks, with big moves in other places such as the US Dollar and Crude oil prices. Stocks remain healthy, with rates potentially rolling over for the intermediate term. Semis outperform, but are joined by a surprise move in Banks. The Russell 2000 continues to find buyers when needed, but there…
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In this week's episode, David and Ian discuss the recovery of old leaders (Tech, Nasdaq) and the lagging once again of Small Caps. Rates and Dollar remain flat. Semis and FAANG names remain near the top. Will the breadth thrusts lead to a substantial move? The table has been set, but we need some more guests at the party.…
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In this weeks episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the strong rally in both stocks and bonds, a potential breakdown in the Dollar, and the biggest movers of the week, including Homebuilders, Crypto stocks, and foreign stocks.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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Episode 182: Needle Nose Ned
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44:34
In this week’s episode, David and Kevin discuss major indices moving below important levels, international equities, potential areas of risk-off behavior, market correlations and the US dollar, Bitcoin, and recent movements in commodities.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss some topics covered at the quarterly Lunch and Learn, the psychological aspects of recency bias, and various relationships within the bond arena. Stocks took another tumble this week, with the S&P 500 near important support. Interest yields continue to climb, with the 10/2 Yield Curve also making new hi…
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Episode 180: Main Street Crossing
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40:42
In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the continued uncertainty in equity markets. While we should see a ‘seasonal swoon’ around the corner, there is still little evidence that it will come this year. Gold may be perking up yet again, along with a few other metals and commodities.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the imminent bounce needed (and received) in stocks this week, the continued rise in interest rates, and the “defenseless” defensive sectors.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss momentum divergences, what the 18-month consolidation means for the Russell 2000, and Gold potentially entering another intermediate term downtrend.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss the weak Seasonality in September and the directional amplification of October. In addition, the highlight the year-to-date returns of most stocks in comparison to the S&P 500. Extensive coverage is given to the most recent breakdown in Treasuries and potential impacts of weak credit going forward.…
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Episode 176: Areas of Interest
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37:26
In this week’s episode, David and Ian discuss important levels (areas of interest) on the trade-weighted dollar, trade-weighted yen, long-term treasuries, volatility (VIX), home construction (ITB), Semiconductors, Energy, Apple, and more. While risk-on measurements such as CCC credit spreads and junk bond/intermediate bond ratios remain positive, s…
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In this week’s episode, Ian and Kevin discuss the S&P and Nasdaq remaining within its recent range, while the Russell 2000 is failing to keep up. They also discuss how large cap tech is still pulling a large amount of the weight, with energy starting to participate more. Also, Oil above $85, the continuing rise of the U.S. Dollar and what that mean…
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In this week's episode, Dave and Ian discuss work by Louis Spector on Dollar strength and weakness. They also discuss ongoing market weakness including, Q4 2021 necklines, international areas, and sector performance in August.โดย David Zarling, Ian McMillan
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