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The Biden administration recently said it was no longer looking to buy up to 3 million barrels of crude for August and September to refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which was drawn down to prevent oil price spikes following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. With oil prices lingering at $85/b to $90/b, what are the chances the Department of Energ…
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A sharp increase in Ukrainian drone attacks on Russian energy infrastructure has those in the refined products markets looking at the near-term implications for export volumes, trade flows, freight rates and commodity prices. S&P Global estimates that Russian refineries with a combined nameplate capacity of over 1.6 million b/d nationwide have now …
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The 2024 CERAWeek by S&P Global conference just wrapped up in Houston, where oil industry executives were talking up, often aggressively, the need for oil and gas to remain in the mix during the transition to cleaner energies. They also discussed environmental solutions which will be needed to keep that oil flowing, namely the need for large-scale …
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Oil industry executives at the CERAWeek by S&P Global conference were largely bullish on oil production growth, shedding recessionary concerns voiced the prior year. They were less enthusiastic about the pace of energy transition, citing the need for more certainty from governments on carbon pricing and other incentives. In this bonus episode of th…
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In the midst of Vladimir Putin’s rubber-stamp re-election as Russian President through March 15-17, a tightening of G7 sanctions led by Washington has seen over 10 companies and dozens of vessels put on the sanctions list for price cap circumvention since October. In addition, the election coincided with a significant increase in Ukrainian attacks …
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Economic power-house China has set out 10 targets for 2024, which is pro-growth for oil demand, keen on energy security, and prioritizing accelerated industry modernization and development of new productive forces. In this episode of Platts Oil Markets podcast, Managing Editor for refined oil products, Wanda Wang has invited China experts Grace Lee…
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Once a global powerhouse of crude production, the UK’s North Sea region saw its oil output decline accelerate to 12% in 2023, according to official data from the UK’s Department of Energy Security and Net Zero. The new figures come as the UAE’s Taqa revealed to S&P Global Commodity Insights that it plans to cease production at the Cormorant oil fie…
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Asian oil flows could witness drastic changes for the remainder of the decade amid growing belief that India will cater to the biggest share of incremental growth in demand in the region. The International Energy Agency has recently said that India's role in global oil markets will likely expand substantially, fueled by strong growth in its economy…
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Latin American crude production is on the rise, with countries like Brazil, Guyana and Argentina leading the way. However, Latin American heavy sour crude output is expected to decline, and flows will be reshuffled as Canada’s Trans Mountain crude pipeline expansion starts up and as operations begin at Pemex’s Olmeca refinery. Why is heavy sour cru…
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As the European ultra-low sulfur diesel complex rallies on concerns around Eastern resupply unable to pass through the Red Sea, gasoil – its high-sulfur counterpart – is under unusual pressure. In this episode of the Platts Oil Markets podcast, editors Natasha Tan and Nadia Bliznikova discuss recent trends with Francesco Di Salvo. Further reading: …
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Following a 1 million b/d growth in US oil output in 2023, oil producers and service companies have been warning of slowing growth this year during their fourth quarter earnings calls. Will production surprise to the upside? And what would that mean for US refiners? In this episode of the Platts Oil Markets podcast, senior upstream editor Starr Spe…
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In the face of continued security issues in the Red Sea stemming from Houthi attacks on commercial vessels, European trade patterns for oil products across the barrel are changing. S&P Global Commodity Insights’ Robert Perkins, Nadia Bliznikova and Takis Gounaris join Joel Hanley to discuss the impacts the Red Sea disruption are having on the Europ…
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Asia so far, has not witnessed any dramatic changes to near-term oil supplies amid the ongoing Red Sea crisis, but refiners are chalking out alternative plans to ensure steady feedstock flows in the event of an escalation -- a move that could inflate insurance costs and crimp refining margins. There has been a strategic push among Asia's top import…
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With OPEC suggesting in its monthly oil market report that global oil demand growth will outweigh an expected increase in non-OPEC supply across 2024 and 2025, market watchers will be keen to see how the group and its allies respond to still slumping oil prices. In this episode, S&P Global Commodity Insights’ Jim Burkhard, Rosemary Griffin and Char…
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For the first Oil Markets episode of 2024, S&P Global Commodity Insights' oil experts team up across pricing, news and research to provide a fresh look at the crudes everyone is talking about — the new grades from Guyana’s Stabroek Block. Jeff Mower speaks with Ha Nguyen, Felipe Perez and Pat Harrington about how Liza, Unity Gold and Payara Gold ar…
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In the final episode of the Oil Markets podcast for 2023, S&P Global Commodity Insights crude and refined products directors Joel Hanley and Richard Swann round up the biggest events and trends of the year. They provide an across-the-barrel retrospective of the year in oil markets, including shifting trade flows, developing markets for Russian oil,…
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The UK’s Grangemouth refinery is set to cease operations in the coming years to be converted into a fuel import terminal, owner Petroineos has said, with current operations to continue into at least early 2025. The refinery supplies close to 86,000 b/d of transport and heating fuels to the UK market and has a direct pipeline of supply from Forties …
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A reduction in daily transits at both the Neopanamax and Panamax lock systems have resulted in longer wait times to transit the Panama Canal. These limits to daily transits are expected to continue into 2024, leading shipowners to raise freight costs as they look for reimbursement for higher transit and demurrage fees. As the price of auction slots…
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The new year looks set to see a seismic shift in China’s oil industry, as concerns grow about the future of crude oil imports and by extension product exports from the country, amid headwinds in the country's refining sector. Questions abound about the impact of China’s reduction in crude imports and the knock-on effect it might have on product exp…
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The West African Gasoline market is about to undergo major transformations. Belgium has proposed new environmental measures to suspend low-quality motor fuel exports, following similar move by the Netherlands. Will consumers like Nigeria turn to alternative blending hubs, or resign themselves to higher prices at the pump? In this episode of the Pla…
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The lifting of Venezuelan oil sanctions by the US has sparked a series of reactions in the upstream market. S&P Global expects an increase of roughly 100,000 b/d in crude exports from Venezuela to 850,000 b/d. Jeff Mower, director of Americas oil news, sits down with Americas crude markets editor Patrick Harrington and Mexico energy editor Sheky Es…
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European fuel oil sulfur spreads surged in October as events further afield spurred opposing price movements for low- and high-sulfur fuel grades. A sudden easing of US oil and gas sanctions on Venezuela has sent high sulfur markets tumbling, while a mysterious shift in exports from Kuwait hit low sulfur markets in the Middle East and Asia, all aga…
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Oil market volatility amid the conflict in the Middle East has started to ring alarm bells for Asian refiners. Hamas' surprise attack on Israel has fanned worries of a long-drawn period of geopolitical turbulence at a time when global oil markets are already been facing a squeeze in supplies, while demand continues to grow. This has rekindled the d…
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Geopolitical tensions are, once again, spooking oil markets, with the Israel-Hamas war dominating all discussions. Even with the impact of the armed conflict so far restricted to the Mediterranean, market players are increasingly concerned about the potential for escalation, which is being reflected in rising insurance premiums. In this episode of …
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After sanctions on Russia in the aftermath of the invasion of Ukraine, Brazil started sourcing 78% of its imports from Russia. But in mid-September, Russia announced a ban on refined product exports to ease its own domestic fuel prices. It quickly changed course, however, partially lifting the ban in early October to free up storage for winter grad…
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Global fuel markets were set to receive another shockwave when Russia announced a ban on diesel and gasoline exports amid tight domestic supplies. Brazil and other importers of Russian diesel were expected to suffer the most. But judging by the falling prices, things are not going quite as some had expected. In this episode of the Platts Oil Market…
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As crude prices have recently inched up past the $90/b level, they are on pace to end the third quarter nearly 35% higher than they started, fundamentally altering the landscape for both upstream and downstream players. Drillers and producers are ramping up output as they look to capitalize on high prices, while refiners are more cautious as they e…
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The OPEC+ production cuts continue to impact both crude oil and refined products. Dated Brent has reached a 10-month high. Prices in the diesel market are also rising amid supply constraints. Meanwhile, the latest report from the IEA has warned investors of strong demand in Q4. In this episode of the Platts Oil Markets podcast, London-based oil new…
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The 39th annual Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference in Singapore captured the tone of Eastern oil markets in early September, catapulting the energy transition back into focus after the distraction of recent world events. Richard Swann, Dave Ernsberger and Joel Hanley share their views on what was a lively week, packed with information on oil, carbon…
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The European bionaphtha market is starting to gain traction as the number of available feedstocks increases and demand for cleaner alternatives grows. Limited supply capacity has kept prices high, but production is set to increase amid a boom in biorefinery construction in the region. As a result, more trading opportunities will become available, a…
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Americas refined products markets are adjusting to altered trade flows more than a year after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Refined products that were once supplied to Brazil from the US Gulf Coast have now been replaced by Russian barrels, while other markets in Latin America are still being wary of touching Russian product out of fear of repercus…
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Asia's oil demand revival, China's much anticipating role in aiding that recovery, heightened concerns around managing legal, regulatory and sanctions risks , as well as the region’s affinity for embracing new energy will be some of the key themes in focus at the Asia Pacific Petroleum Conference -- or APPEC 2023 -- organized by S&P Global Commodit…
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For many years, Russia was Europe's main supplier of key refined oil products until Western sanctions were imposed in February 2023. Six months into the embargo on Russian refined products, markets across the continent continue to adjust. Prices appear to be rising and shipping times have lengthened as European buyers find products further afield i…
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Trade disruptions. Refinery adjustments. New arbitrage flows. These are some of the consequences Europe faced as the continent had to wean itself off Russian crude following the embargo, which came into effect in December 2022. Russia has since managed to find new customers in Asia, but military attacks on oil infrastructure in the Black Sea could …
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The small South American country of Guyana has experienced a quick transformation within the past decade, going from zero oil production in 2019 to nearly 400,000 b/d in 2023 and that is expected to reach around 600,000 by the end of 2024. That will position Guyana as one of the world’s top oil producing countries in the world and a rare exception …
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Refiners in Asia are crafting out expansion strategies and pumping billions of dollars to diversify their portfolio and adapt to the changing energy landscape. Renewables, hydrogen and solar energy are starting to figure in their ambitions. But a key area of focus for refiners is to raise their petrochemicals intensity to ensure business models rem…
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Nigeria, Africa's largest crude oil producer, is struggling to keep oil flowing amid leaks at the Forcados oil terminal port. The ill-fated facility has been offline for much of 2022 due to sabotage, and now faces the prospect of another force majeure that could affect European markets. In this episode of the Platts Oil Markets podcast, oil news re…
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North American heavy and sour crude price differentials have reached multiyear highs in recent weeks. These are prices that are typically seen only after major production disruptions like hurricanes. But there are no clouds in sight in the Gulf of Mexico. Sour crude prices are supported by a myriad of factors including global supply tightness, Stra…
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Europe is bracing for challenges this summer as its main waterway experiences lower-than-usual rainfall. The Rhine is drying up well ahead of historical patterns, and the short-term forecast is for water levels to fall below critical levels for barge navigation as early as mid-July. In this Platts Oil Markets podcast from S&P Global Commodity Insig…
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Summer travel season is upon us, so what's the outlook for fuel demand in the Americas for the coming months? Naphtha, a key component in gasoline, was recently in short supply but now appears to be in ample supply, and recent S&P Global analyst reports show an anticipated rebound in diesel demand in the second half of 2023. S&P Global Commodity In…
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OPEC’s kingpin Saudi Arabia has slashed its crude output by a further 1 million b/d in July, bringing the alliance’s total cuts to 4.7 million b/d in the month, or about 5% of global capacity. But with Asia’s crude import mix evolving since the Russia-Ukraine conflict, S&P Global Commodity Insights’ Asia Oil Editor Neo Rong Wei spoke with Asia Oil …
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The war in Ukraine has created a new set of trade flows, as many buyers look to avoid Russian commodities. What are European buyers doing to replace Russian crude oil, and how have these changed flows upturned the markets? In the latest Oil Markets podcast, London-based crude oil price reporters Luke Stuart, George Delaney, and Sam Angell discuss w…
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Canada's crude production has been reduced in recent weeks by wildfires in Alberta, tightening price discounts for some Canadian crude grades. While the bulk of output has returned, and longer-term output is expected to rise 500,000 b/d by 2030, high development costs are threatening that outlook, with Equinor announcing a delay of its Bay du Nord …
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More and more ships are turning off their transponders in the Black Sea in risky but lucrative trades. Deep discounts on Russia's main export crude, Urals, and refined products such as gasoil and diesel, are attracting strong market interest. And dark shipping in "no man's land" now appears to be another option for those willing to play the markets…
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As Asian oil demand recovery shows signs of sustaining the strong momentum, there were two key questions that's keeping refiners on tenterhooks -- if purchasing Russian crude would increasingly get tougher following the recent pledge by G7 leaders to ensure stricter policy enforcement. And secondly, if OPEC and its allies would aim for further cuts…
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Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari is due to inaugurate the 650,000 b/d refinery on 22 May. But after many years of delays, and with the project running $11 billion over its original $9 billion production cost target, many traders are questioning whether the project is really ready. In this episode of the Platts Oil Markets podcast, S&P Global Oil…
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This year, the US, alongside G7 countries, placed a price cap on Russian-grade refined product at $100/b. This marked another set of sanctions designed to shrink Russia's influence on global oil markets. Following the Feb. 5 price cap, disruptions have been seen in both the clean tanker market and the Americas diesel market. In this Oil Markets epi…
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As of May 2, 2023, Platts incorporated US WTI Midland crude oil into Platts Dated Brent and related benchmark assessments. This is the first-ever inclusion of a non-North Sea grade and is expected to boost the liquidity of the world’s most important physical crude oil leading benchmark assessment. In this episode of the Platts Oil Markets podcast, …
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One of the largest crude importers globally, China had seen demand plummet amid the pandemic, although it has been showing signs of recovery – with better-than-expected economic growth and record-high production in Q1 2023. S&P Global Commodity Insights Asia Oil Editor Neo Rong Wei discussed with Analyst Oceana Zhou and Asia Oil News Managing Edito…
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Italy’s Eni has been one of the most successful drillers in Mexico. One of many E&P companies active in Mexico’s upstream auctions following the country’s 2013-2014 liberalization, Eni was the first independent to produce in Mexican waters in 2019. Most recently, Eni announced a 200 million boe discovery at the Yatzil well in the Salina sub-basin, …
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